The Great Demographic Reversal读书介绍
| 类别 | 页数 | 译者 | 网友评分 | 年代 | 出版社 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 书籍 | 280页 | 2020 | Palgrave Macmillan |
| 定价 | 出版日期 | 最近访问 | 访问指数 |
|---|---|---|---|
| GBP 22.99 | 2020-08-09 … | 2021-08-17 … | 2 |
This original and panoramic book proposes that the underlying forces of demography and globalisation will shortly reverse three multi-decade global trends – it will raise inflation and interest rates, but lead to a pullback in inequality. “Whatever the future holds”, the authors argue, “it will be nothing like the past”. Deflationary headwinds over the last three decades have been primarily due to an enormous surge in the world’s available labour supply, owing to very favourable demographic trends and the entry of China and Eastern Europe into the world’s trading system. This book demonstrates how these demographic trends are on the point of reversing sharply, coinciding with a retreat from globalisation. The result? Ageing can be expected to raise inflation and interest rates, bringing a slew of problems for an over-indebted world economy, but is also anticipated to increase the share of labour, so that inequality falls. Covering many social and political factors, as well as those that are more purely macroeconomic, the authors address topics including ageing, dementia, inequality, populism, retirement and debt finance, among others.
This book will be of interest and understandable to anyone with an interest on where the world’s economy is going.
作者简介查尔斯·古德哈特（Charles Goodhart），伦敦政治经济学院银行和金融学荣休教授。著名的“古德哈特定律”（当一个政策变成目标，它将不再是一个好的政策）提出者。英国科学院院士。
马诺杰·普拉丹(Manoj Pradhan)，独立经济研究智库Talking Heads Macro创始人。曾任摩根士丹利董事总经理，领导团队分析全球经济。
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